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Posts posted by spence
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But we have a split on Best Director due to yours matching the DGA & they never match up-(the nominees)
I've not seen "Disaster Artist" but he looks obnoxious in it (Franco)
Did get to see about half of our predicted BP contenders though
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20 hours ago, CinemaInternational said:
Here are my predictions, even though I have not seen many of these films at all. These are mainly based on things i have heard and studied through precursors. Some in the smaller categories are rather shaky predictions. I have a hunch that The Post will be almost completely shut out due to late screening copies and complete misses at the DGA, SAG, and BAFTAs.
Best Picture
1. The Shape of Water
2. Lady Bird
3. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
4. Get Out
5. Dunkirk
6. I, Tonya
7. Call Me By Your Name
8. Molly's Game
9. The Big Sick
10. Darkest Hour
Actor:
Timothee Chalamet/Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis/Phantom Thread
Daniel Kaluyya/Get Out
Gary Oldman/Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington/Roman J. Israel, Esq.
Actress
Jessica Chastain/Molly's Game
Sally Hawkins/The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand/Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie/I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan/Lady Bird
Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe/The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson/Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins/The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer/All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell/Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Supporting Actress
Holly Hunter/The Big Sick
Allison Janney/I, Tonya
Lesley Manville/Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf/Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer/The Shape of Water
Directing
Dunkirk (Christopher Nolan)
Get Out (Jordan Peele)
Lady Bird (Greta Gerwig)
The Shape of Water (Guillermo Del Toro)
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri (Martin McDonough)
Original Screenplay
The Big Sick
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Adapted Screenplay
Blade Runner 2049
Call Me By Your Name
Molly's Game
Mudbound
Wonder
Documentary
City of Ghosts
Ex Libris
Faces Places
An Inconvenient Sequel
Jane
Foreign Film
A Fantastic Woman
Foxtrot
In the Fade
Loveless
The Square
Animated Film
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
In This Corner of the World
Loving Vincent
Cinematography
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water
Wonder Wheel
Production Design
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Costume Design
Beauty and the Beast
The Greatest Showman
I, Tonya
Murder on the Orient Express
Phantom Thread
Editing
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
Molly's Game
The Shape of Water
Score
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Song
Beauty and the Beast ("Evermore")
Coco ("Remember Me")
The Greatest Showman ("This Is Me")
Mudbound ("Mighty River")
Murder on the Orient Express ("Never Forget")
Visual Effects
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Okja
The Shape of Water
War for the Planet of the Apes
Makeup and Hair
Darkest Hour
I, Tonya
Wonder
Sound Mixing
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Wonder Woman
Sound Editing
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last JediTHANK YOU FOR SUBMITTING YOR PREDICTIONS, 4 STARS!
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For some reason Day-Lewis said that was his final film
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19 hours ago, LawrenceA said:
I agree with your choices completely in every other category, but I still wonder if James Franco will get a nomination for The Disaster Artist. I know the scandals have tainted him, but he's won in the category a lot, plus he got a SAG nom. I can see him taking the spot of either Kaluuya or Washington, although SAG omitted Daniel Day-Lewis.
LawrenceA, thanx for fast reply Love to see your predix as well?
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Shape will probably lead with most nominations but in this era that hasn't mattered that much, due to the other ballot nowadays
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17 hours ago, Swithin said:
I agree with you about Three Billboards. I hope you are wrong about Shape leading the field. I know the press is touting Shape and downplaying Three Billboards, but Three Billboards and many other 2017 films are superior to the over-hyped Shape, which as I mentioned in another thread, is basically The Creature from the Black Lagoon Meets La La Land.
Shape was such a ripoff (not homage) of other films that I fully expected the mute to begin to talk at the end, a la Dorothy McGuire in The Spiral Staircase.

thank you for your reply
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5 hours ago, LawrenceA said:
Willis will be 63 in March (Neeson is 65 and Ford is 75). Contrast that with Charles Bronson being 53 when he starred in the original Death Wish. That film made him a bigger star than ever before, which is ironic since it was intended to help segue Bronson from his earlier, more physical (and often shirtless) action roles into older, dramatic parts. It's highly unlikely this new take will be anywhere near the success of the original, although it would be interesting if they adhere to the ethos of that earlier film, in that the "hero" is an everyday guy driven to the breaking point. No secret kung fu expertise or machine guns in each hand while somersaulting over the bad guys, but an average man, angry and even a little scared, with a gun in his hand. Part of Willis' initial appeal in films like Die Hard was that he was more like an average slob dropped into an action movie scenario. He wasn't a ripped, muscular demi-god like Schwarzenegger or Stallone, instead he was a kind of soft looking guy in a dirty t-shirt and a receding hairline.
But it looks awful!
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Sequels, remakes & superheroes again?
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On 12/27/2017 at 12:35 PM, LawrenceA said:
It's hard to believe, but it's that time again, when one year closes and another is on the horizon. I'll start off this new year's thread by posting the list of the most anticipated releases of 2018 as voted on by the users of the Internet Movie Database (IMDb).
- Avengers: Infinity War
- Black Panther
- Deadpool 2
- Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom
- Tomb Raider
- Pacific Rim: Uprising
- The Predator
- Ocean's Eight
- Mission: Impossible 6
- Solo: A Star Wars Story
That's 3 superhero movies leading off the list, and that's not even all of them. There's also Ant-Man and the Wasp, X-Men: Dark Phoenix, The New Mutants, Venom and Aquaman.
I haven't read much about the next year's films but there are a few on my radar that I'm interested in:
Annihilation is the new science fiction film from Alex Garland, the writer-director of Ex Machina, and writer of Sunshine and 28 Days Later. It stars Natalie Portman as the leader of an expedition into a mysterious alien realm in search of her husband.
Isle of Dogs is an animated film from director Wes Anderson. I like his quirky sensibilities.
God Particle is a science fiction story whose details have been kept under wraps. It's supposedly going to be tied to the Cloverfield movies, but only in a very minor way.
The 15:17 to Paris is Clint Eastwood's take on the thwarted terrorist attack on a French train a few years ago. The actual guys who stopped the attack play themselves.
A Wrinkle in Time is the long-gestating adaptation of Madeleine L'Engle's much-loved science fiction fantasy novel. The movie features Chris Pine, Reese Witherspoon, and Oprah Winfrey.
Mary Magdelene is another look at the biblical character, starring Rooney Mara, with Joaquin Phoenix as Jesus.
Ready Player One is a big-budget science fiction adventure from Steven Spielberg, based on a best seller about people searching for treasure in a virtual reality game populated by familiar pop culture characters.
Sicario 2: Soldado is a follow-up to the excellent 2015 film Sicario about the US/Mexican drug trade, with Benicio Del Toro returning as a lethal secret agent.
As usual, most of the more interesting movies won't be out until late in the year, and as such I haven't heard about them yet.
SUPERB JOB!
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his marks my 36th year at *Academy Award oddsmaking & often like predicting the nominations vs. the actual winners
please also forecast (*-denotes frontrunner) (top 6 major categories only predicted for now) Official nominations to be announced next Tuesday
The 90th Annual Academy awards-(AMPAS)
Best Picture-(likely 8 to 10 again)?
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Get 0ut
I, Tonya
LadyBird
The Post
*The Shape of Water-(likely to lead the field w/most nods)
*Three Billboards 0utside Ebbing Missouri-(my personal fav. of 2017)
& If there are ten?
The Florida Project-(revised)
Best Actor?:
Timothy Chalamet in "Call Me By Your Name"
James Franco, "The Disaster Artist"
Tom Hanks, "The Post"
Daniel Day-Lewis, "Phantom Thread"
& *Gary 0ldman, "Darkest Hour"
Best Actress?:
Sally Hawkins in "Shape of Water"
*Frances McDormand, "Three Billboards..."
Margot Robbie, "I, Tonya"
Saoirse Ronan, "Ladybird"
& Meryl Streep, "The Post(will mark her 21st nomination)
Supporting Actor?:
*Willem Dafoe, "The Florida Project"
Richard Jenkins, "Shape of Water"
Christopher Plummer, "All the Money in the World"-(revised)
*Sam Rockwell, "Three Billboards..."
& Michael Stuhlbarg, "Call Me By Your Name"
Supporting Actress?:
Mary J. Blige in "Mudbound"
Holly Hunter, "The Big Sick"
*Allison Janney, "I, Tonya"
*Laurie Metcalf, "Ladybird"
& 0ctavia Spencer, "Shape of Water"
& Best Director?:
*Guillermo Del Toro for "Shape of Water"
Greta Gerwig, "Ladybird"
Martin McDonagh, "Three Billboards..."
Christopher Nolan, "Dunkirk"
& Steven Spielberg, "The Post"
& just wanted to add this just for fun & my love of movie music I know I'm not alone in the latter department
Best 0riginal-Score?:
"Darkest Hour" (A. Martinelli)
"Dunkirk" (Hans Zimmer)
"The Phantom thread" (Johnny Greenwood)
"The Post": (NOTE: I believe it will cite his 36th nomination)
& *"Shape of Water" (Alexander Desplat)
& again just for fun & very early as yet & the above nominee forecast is now final, but only having fun what it all make look like after the presentations for the 90th Annual AMPAS awards for 2017
To be presented Sunday Masrch 4th, 2017 & again on Hollywood, Blvd at "The Dolby Theatre" just across H. Blvd from "The Pantages"which held them there from 1949 through 1959 "Pantages" was also the place where the very fist awards were presented "Live" on tv in 1953 honoring the 1952 film world. Most regular movie fans had never seen their heroes & heroines on the tv, *Bogey, Marilyn, *Coop & *"The King" until now When I vacationed there the 1st time in '99 it was still called "The Kodak Theatre" "Hollywood & Highland" & even more trivia, TV's ET when it was under contruction had it's own time capsule buried, containing memorabelias from it's 1st 18yrs on air & 3 videos "It's a Wonderful Life" "Singin' In The Rain" & "The Wizard of 0z" & it's rules said it's time capsule would & should never be unearthed for another century)
So, though extremely early before March 4th, Best Picture: "Three Billboards..." Actor: Gary 0ldman Actress : Frances McDormand S. Actor:-(closest race of all, between Dafoe & Rockwell?) S. Actress: Laurie Metcalf & BD: Del Toro
THANK YOU
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On 1/12/2018 at 5:13 PM, jakeem said:
The Cinema Audio Society has announced its nominations for the best in sound for 2017 in film, television and product. The nominations are often an indicator of the Oscar nominees in the Best Sound Mixing category.
The 54th annual CAS Awards will be held Saturday, February 24th in the Bunker Hill Ballroom of the OMNI Los Angeles Hotel at California Plaza in Los Angeles, California.
Here is the full list of nominations for the 54th Cinema Audio Society (CAS) awards:
MOTION PICTURE – LIVE ACTION
Baby Driver
Production Mixer – Mary H. Ellis, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Julian Slater, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Tim Cavagin
Scoring Mixer – Gareth Cousins, CAS
ADR Mixer – Mark Appleby
Foley Mixer – Glen GathardDunkirk
Production Mixer – Mark Weingarten, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Gregg Landaker
Re-recording Mixer – Gary Rizzo, CAS
Scoring Mixer – Alan Meyerson, CAS
ADR Mixer – Thomas J. O’Connell
Foley Mixer – Scott CurtisStar Wars: The Last Jedi
Production Mixer – Stuart Wilson, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – David Parker
Re-recording Mixer – Michael Semanick
Re-recording Mixer – Ren Klyce
Scoring Mixer – Shawn Murphy
ADR Mixer – Doc Kane, CAS
Foley Mixer – Frank RinellaThe Shape of Water
Production Mixer – Glen Gauthier
Re-recording Mixer – Christian T. Cooke, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Brad Zoern, CAS
Scoring Mixer – Peter Cobbin
ADR Mixer – Chris Navarro, CAS
Foley Mixer – Peter Persaud, CASWonder Woman
Production Mixer – Chris Munro, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Chris Burdon
Re-recording Mixer – Gilbert Lake, CAS
Scoring Mixer – Alan Meyerson, CAS
ADR Mixer – Nick Kray
Foley Mixer – Glen GathardMOTION PICTURE—ANIMATED
Cars 3
Original Dialogue Mixer – Doc Kane, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Tom Meyers
Re-recording Mixer – Michael Semanick
Re-recording Mixer – Nathan Nance
Scoring Mixer – David Boucher
Foley Mixer – Blake CollinsCoco
Original Dialogue Mixer – Vince Caro
Re-recording Mixer – Christopher Boyes
Re-recording Mixer – Michael Semanick
Scoring Mixer – Joel Iwataki
Foley Mixer – Blake CollinsDespicable Me 3
Original Dialogue Mixer – Carlos Sotolongo
Re-recording Mixer – Randy Thom, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Tim Nielson
Re-recording Mixer – Brandon Proctor
Scoring Mixer – Greg Hayes
Foley Mixer – Scott CurtisFerdinand
Original Dialogue Mixer – Bill Higley, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Randy Thom, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Lora Hirschberg
Re-recording Mixer – Leff Lefferts
Scoring Mixer – Shawn Murphy
Foley Mixer – Scott CurtisThe Lego Batman Movie
Original Dialogue Mixer – Jason Oliver
Re-recording Mixer – Michael Semanick
Re-recording Mixer – Gregg Landaker
Re-recording Mixer – Wayne Pashley
Scoring Mixer – Stephen Lipson
Foley Mixer – Lisa SimpsonMOTION PICTURE—DOCUMENTARY
An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power
Production Mixer – Gabriel Monts
Re-recording Mixer – Kent Sparling
Re-recording Mixer – Gary Rizzo, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Zach Martin
Scoring Mixer – Jeff Beal
Foley Mixer – Jason ButlerEric Clapton: Life in 12 Bars
Re-recording Mixer – Tim Cavagin
Re-recording Mixer – William Miller
ADR Mixer – Adam Mendez, CASGaga: Five Feet Two
Re-recording Mixer – Jonathan Wales, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Jason DottsJane
Production Mixer – Lee Smith
Re-recording Mixer – David E. Fluhr, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Warren Shaw
Scoring Mixer – Derek Lee
ADR Mixer – Chris Navarro, CAS
Foley Mixer – Ryan MaguireLong Strange Trip
Production Mixer – David Silberberg
Re-recording Mixer – Bob Chefalas
Re-recording Mixer – Jacob RibicoffTELEVISION MOVIE or MINI-SERIES
Big Little Lies: Episode 7 ‘You Get What You Need’
Production Mixer – Brendan Beebe, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Gavin Fernandes, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Louis GignacBlack Mirror: USS Callister
Production Mixer – John Rodda, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Tim Cavagin
Re-recording Mixer – Dafydd Archard
Re-recording Mixer – Will Miller
ADR Mixer – Nick Baldock
Foley Mixer – Sophia HardmanFargo: Year 3 Episode 4 ‘The Narrow Escape Problem’
Production Mixer – Michael Playfair, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Kirk Lynds, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Martin Lee
Scoring Mixer – Michael PerfittSherlock: The Lying Detective
Production Mixer –John Mooney, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Howard Bargroff
Scoring Mixer – Nick Wollage
ADR Mixer – Peter Gleaves, CAS
Foley Mixer – Jamie TalbuttTwin Peaks – Part 8 ‘Gotta Light?’
Production Mixer – Douglas Axtell
Re-recording Mixer –Dean Hurley
Re-recording Mixer – Ron EngTELEVISION SERIES – 1 HOUR
Better Call Saul: Lantern
Production Mixer – Phillip W. Palmer, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Larry B. Benjamin, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Kevin Valentine
ADR Mixer – Matt Hovland
Foley Mixer – David Michael Torres, CASGame of Thrones: Beyond the Wall
Production Mixer – Ronan Hill, CAS
Production Mixer – Richard Dyer, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Onnalee Blank, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Mathew Waters, CAS
Foley Mixer – Brett Voss, CASStranger Things: Chapter 8 “The Mind Flayer”
Production Mixer – Michael P. Clark, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Joe Barnett
Re-recording Mixer – Adam Jenkins
ADR Mixer – Bill Higley, CAS
Foley Mixer – Anthony Zeller, CASThe Crown: Misadventure
Production Mixer – Chris Ashworth
Re-recording Mixer – Lee Walpole
Re-recording Mixer – Stuart Hilliker
Re-recording Mixer – Martin Jensen
ADR Mixer – Rory de Carteret
Foley Mixer – Philip ClementsThe Handmaid’s Tale: Episode #1 ‘Offred’
Production Mixer – John J. Thomson, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Lou Solakofski
Re-recording Mixer – Joe Morrow
Foley Mixer – Don WhiteTELEVISION SERIES – 1/2 HOUR
Ballers: Yay Area
Production Mixer – Scott Harber, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Richard Weingart, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Michael Colomby, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Mitch Dorfblackish: Juneteenth, The Musical
Production Mixer – Tom N. Stasinis, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Peter J. Nusbaum, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Whitney PurpleModern Family: Lake Life
Production Mixer – Stephen A. Tibbo, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Dean Okrand, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Brian R. Harman, CASSilicon Valley: Episode 9 ‘Hooli-Con’
Production Mixer – Benjamin A. Patrick, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Elmo Ponsdomenech
Re-recording Mixer – Todd BeckettVeep: Omaha
Production Mixer – William MacPherson, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – John W. Cook II, CAS
Re-recording Mixer – Bill Freesh, CASTELEVISION NON-FICTION, VARIETY or MUSIC SERIES or SPECIALS
American Experience: The Great War – Part 3
Production Mixer – John Jenkins
Re-Recording Mixer – Ken HahnAnthony Bourdain: Parts Unknown (Oman)
Re-Recording Mixer – Benny Mouthon, CASDeadliest Catch: Last Damn Arctic Storm
Re-Recording Mixer – John WarrinRolling Stone: Stories from the Edge
Production Mixer – David Hocs
Production Mixer – Tom Tierney
Re-Recording Mixer – Tom Fleischman, CASWho Killed Tupac? Episode 101: Murder in Vegas
Production Mixer – Steve Birchmeier
Re-Recording Mixer – John ReeseOUTSTANDING PRODUCT – PRODUCTION
DPA Slim
Manufacturer: DPADuet Digital Wireless Monitor System
Manufacturer: LectrosonicsSX-R4+
Manufacturer: SonosaxMix Pre- 10T Recorder
Manufacturer: Sound DevicesZMT3-Phantom
Manufacturer: ZaxcomOUTSTANDING PRODUCT – POST PRODUCTION
Dolby Atmos Content Creation Tools
Manufacturer: DolbyPro Q2 Equalizer
Manufacturer: FabFilterR4 Reverb
Manufacturer: Exponential AudioRX 6 Advanced
Manufacturer: iZotope, Inc.Absentia DX
Manufacturer: Todd-AO2 *Academy Awards I bet "Dunkirk" wins is both Sound races
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She's the favorite of the *Coen Bros. look fast also for her in 1990's "Miller's Crossing"
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3 hours ago, cigarjoe said:
I can see that if all you ever watched of the Coen Brothers were Raising Arizona, O Brother, Where Art Thou? or The Ladykillers remake Their films are not all like those. The Coen's cover a large range of styles
This one reminded me of Blood Simple, Fargo. and No Country For Old Men.
I thought it was the best film this year "Three Billboards.,.."
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as most already have indicated Gary 0ldman delivers a tremendous performance as Winston Churchill in "Darkest Hour" & it's about 99% certain he will win the Best Actor *Oscar in awhile Overall I personally think it a very fine bio as well, make-up-(which is likely to also win), art-direction, music,etc & a must for history buffs Amazingly it will only be his 2nd attempt at an *Academy Award too For me overall the movie (***1/2-out of four) & of course for him 4 BIG STARS! Who else has seen it?
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No matter what still a superb motion picture!
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For fans of Kirk Douglas check out his history though, especially 1949 & 1954. I always liked his performances too
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21 minutes ago, mr6666 said:
IndieWireVerified account @IndieWire 8m8 minutes ago
#LadyBird has won the#GoldenGlobe for Best Musical or Comedy: http://bit.ly/2D3cOyJ#GoldenGlobes
LadyBird though sure under-performed, I thought it would take home about (3)
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Delightful surprise with "Three Billboards,,," wining the biggie!
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4 hours ago, mr6666 said:
SalonVerified account @Salon 1h1 hour ago
#GoldenGlobes
preview: Forget about the statuettes and the drunken celebs — it's the off-screen issues that count in 2018 http://ow.ly/N67930hCYoU
I can't stand Seth Meyers though!!!
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Generally I've learned to never predict the unpredictable Golden Globes, but I think "LadyBird" will take home the most tomorrow
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Easily must rank among TV's top ten all-timers!!!
& of course many have attempted to duplicate it ever since
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I think he was even interred in Ireland, but many insist co-star & fellow *AMPAS winner *Victor McLaglen was English
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Though very close I must vote for "The Quiet Man"
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& I posted an item awhile ago on "Forbes" annual highest pd $stars$ and Mark Whalberg lead on the male side-(Vin Diesel was #4) & as for the ladies #1 was *Oscar winner *Emma Stone



Predicting the *Oscar nominees???
in General Discussions
Posted
What about "the Post?"