Jump to content

 
Search In
  • More options...
Find results that contain...
Find results in...
Sign in to follow this  
TheCid

2018 Elections

Recommended Posts

36 minutes ago, Bogie56 said:
The Fix • Analysis
Why Washington insiders think Democrats will take back the House
Nearly every electoral indicator is pointing in Democrats' favor, with a few caveats.
By Amber Phillips  •  Read more »
  7e4b21e831259c1436931bde097eaba2-320-0-70-8-Pelsoi_87925121bc.jpg

I fervently hope they are right, but I fear the Dem voters just won't show up in sufficient numbers.  Articles such as this will just encourage too many Dems and Dem likely voters to stay at home, as in 2016.

From the Article:

Of course, the conventional wisdom in Washington is fallible. (See: Trump vs. Clinton, 2016.) And next week we'll be analyzing why it might be wrong.    

They've flipped 40 state legislature seats in special elections since Trump became president,  (Me: Special elections for one seat with low voter turn-out on both sides.  Also special elections are not true indicators of general elections.  Far more seats and items on ballots.)

Turnout in Texas Democratic primaries this spring was nearly double what it was in the 2014 midterms, for example.  (Me:  If turnout was low in 2014, wouldn't be hard to double that.)

There are two caveats to all this. Democratic voters traditionally aren’t as likely to vote in midterms as Republicans. Also, the economy is doing well (though it could slow), which is normally a major indicator of success for the party already in power.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Russian Hackers Targeted The Most Vulnerable Part Of U.S. Elections. Again

When Russian hackers targeted the staff of Sen. Claire McCaskill, D-Mo., they took aim at maybe the most vulnerable sector of U.S. elections: campaigns.

McCaskill's Senate staff received fake emails, as first reported by The Daily Beast, in an apparent attempt by Russia's GRU intelligence agency to gain access to passwords. McCaskill released a statement confirming the attack but said there is no indication the attack was successful.

"Russia continues to engage in cyber warfare against our democracy. I will continue to speak out and press to hold them accountable," McCaskill said....

https://www.npr.org/2018/07/28/633056819/russian-hackers-targeted-the-most-vulnerable-part-of-u-s-elections-again?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=npr&utm_term=nprnews&utm_content=20180728

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

All that aside, the 2018 gubernatorial and congressional elections here in Michigan are pretty interesting.

The Democrats, ever out to prove how "diverse" they are, actually DO have a fairly diverse selection.  ie:  For Governor;  SHRI THANENDAR, a long naturalized India immigrant, Dr. ABDUL AL-SAYED ('nuff said) and a couple of women whose names I forget right now.....

The republicans however, with the exception of one guy, are putting up the usual crowd of WASP candidates.  The twist with these dudes is---

republican congressional candidate SANDY PENSLER is dismissed as a "liberal" because he a couple of times( and on camera) poked fun at Trump's lack of public speaking skills and penchant for "tweeting".  His opponent, African-American military veteran JOHN JAMES is said to be a "phony conservative" because he allegedly supported a "sanctuary city leftist" for some state legislative seat.  In fact:

"Sanctuary city/cities". seems to be the popular conservative scare tactic catchphrase this election, actually counting on enough people stupid enough to believe there ARE actually candidates that support the idea of providing asylum to convicted felons in our major cities.  Unless of course( and following suit) by referring to "criminals", they mean ALL illegal immigrants. 

Sepiatone

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2018/07/28/nancy-pelosi-faces-increasing-opposition-bid-house-speaker/849154002/

Pelosi is facing opposition from people running as Democrats.  Not to mention some Dems. already in the House.  While not the lowest approval ratings, she is near the bottom for politicians.  Hers are 29% and McConnell's are 24%.

The Republicans have been and will continue to be effective in linking all Dem candidates to Pelosi and her San Francisco CA, extreme left-wing, socialist policies.  They will effectively campaign that she will be third in line for presidency if Dems win the House.

IMO, Pelosi needs to issue a statement that she will neither be Speaker of the House nor Minority Leader in the next Congress.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Anything is possible of course, but I think the only way Pelosi will decline to be

Speaker if the Dems win the House is to pry the gavel from her cold, dead hands.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

POLITICOVerified account @politico 5h5 hours ago

 
 

BREAKING: Facebook shut down more than two dozen "inauthentic" accounts and pages Tuesday that sought to inflame social and political tensions in the United States

and said their activity was similar to those of Russian accounts during the 2016 election

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/31/facebook-suspends-inauthentic-propaganda-accounts-752615

  • Thanks 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, mr6666 said:

POLITICOVerified account @politico 5h5 hours ago

 
 

BREAKING: Facebook shut down more than two dozen "inauthentic" accounts and pages Tuesday that sought to inflame social and political tensions in the United States

and said their activity was similar to those of Russian accounts during the 2016 election

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/31/facebook-suspends-inauthentic-propaganda-accounts-752615

MR6666:   Don't you create post, after post, after post,  day after day, that don't contain any context you created (and therefor one could say they are 'inauthentic'),  and that clearly are designed to "inflame social and political tensions in the United States"?

I wonder if you do this at Facebook and if their new policy would prevent you from doing so (especially if you're using a bot).

PS:  I see that you don't accept PMs so I'm posting this here:

Sorry if my questions to you look like I'm attacking you.  I really was interested in if Facebook new policy would restrict the type of posts you create here, at TCM's site.      Anyhow,  if I offended you in any way, I'm sorry.

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, mr6666 said:

POLITICOVerified account @politico 5h5 hours ago

 
 

BREAKING: Facebook shut down more than two dozen "inauthentic" accounts and pages Tuesday that sought to inflame social and political tensions in the United States

and said their activity was similar to those of Russian accounts during the 2016 election

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/07/31/facebook-suspends-inauthentic-propaganda-accounts-752615

Thank you for all your posts and for quoting your sources too.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, Bogie56 said:

Thank you for all your posts and for quoting your sources too.

Why do I get the feeling you're not thanking Jake.   

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I saw this campaign commercial the other day for Republican Ron DeSantis, currently serving in the House, who's running for governor here in Florida. It's trying to be lighthearted, but it's just kind of creepy. I wanted to post it on here for others to see, but couldn't find a linkable embed anywhere. However, I just ran across this Young Turks segment talking about the ad. Enjoy!

 

  • Thanks 3
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

TanielVerified account @Taniel 4h4 hours ago

 
 

WHAT A STORY, by @ProPublica: Kobach (GOP gov. candidate KS) went around helping towns pass anti-immigration ordinances,

& then got himself hired to defend them in court.

Towns then spent millions on legal fees, faced financial crisis, & usually lost

—while Kobach earned $800K.

https://www.propublica.org/article/kris-kobachs-lucrative-trail-of-courtroom-defeats 

DjhKOvFX0AAhuCH.jpg
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, mr6666 said:

TanielVerified account @Taniel 4h4 hours ago

 
 

WHAT A STORY, by @ProPublica: Kobach (GOP gov. candidate KS) went around helping towns pass anti-immigration ordinances,

& then got himself hired to defend them in court.

Towns then spent millions on legal fees, faced financial crisis, & usually lost

—while Kobach earned $800K.

https://www.propublica.org/article/kris-kobachs-lucrative-trail-of-courtroom-defeats 

DjhKOvFX0AAhuCH.jpg

Jessica HusemanVerified account @JessicaHuseman 2h2 hours ago

 
 

4/ The towns spent nearly $10 million combined. One, already millions in debt when Kobach began defending it, took on $1.4m in additional loans to pay the ACLU’s attorneys fees when they lost. Read about the town that spent $7m in our story.

6/ Kobach denies that these towns helped his national profile and that his financial disclosures are incomplete. He says the towns knew what they were getting into, and calls one of the towns a “victory.”  
 
 
 
  • Sad 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, mr6666 said:

Barack ObamaVerified account @BarackObama 4h4 hours ago

 

Today I’m proud to endorse such a wide and impressive array of Democratic candidates – leaders as diverse, patriotic, and big-hearted as the America they’re running to represent:

DjhvPv4XcAAb9_c.jpg
DjhvPsWX4AIcRDN.jpg
DjhvPuSW0AEu2T3.jpg
DjhvPsTW4AAH4Te.jpg

Are these the only people he is endorsing?  Or are there more to come later?  He did not endorse anyone in S.C., although not much chance of a Dem winning anyway (except for Clyburn who is in the token minority/majority/Dem. district).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Saw an interesting discussion on MSNBC this morning.  A Dem House member and Michael Steele theorized that Trump actually wants Dems to take control of House and maybe Senate.  That way he can spend the next two years campaigning against Dems, Pelosi, Schumer, et. al.  This would give him a better shot (in his thinking) for winning in 2020.  Also, he would be able to blame the Dems when all his policies and programs and actions fail to achieve anything and actually lead to disaster.  Could work.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 8/1/2018 at 6:35 PM, TheCid said:

Are these the only people he is endorsing?  Or are there more to come later?  He did not endorse anyone in S.C., although not much chance of a Dem winning anyway (except for Clyburn who is in the token minority/majority/Dem. district).

This is only the first wave;  Note no one from NY;    So will Obama endorse any self-proclaimed socialist Dems?

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, jamesjazzguitar said:

This is only the first wave;  Note no one from NY;    So will Obama endorse any self-proclaimed socialist Dems?

 

Of course, the bottom line is whether it will hurt or help or not matter at all.  Endorsements actually do very little to cause people to vote one way or another.

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Gist of below is that local elections are local and effective politician will focus on the local issues that matter most to people.  Special elections are unique and probably not representative of general.  Also, the Dems who won special elections will have to defend them in regular elections.  Gerrymandering is mostly in GOPers favor, as is who lives in districts anyway.  The economy is in good shape (reportedly) and no crisis on the horizon.

Good news for Dems is that there are a lot more GOP seats at risk than Dem ones.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2018/08/03/if-democrats-fail-to-take-back-the-house-in-november-this-might-be-why/?utm_term=.3ea2c7d823fe&wpisrc=nl_evening&wpmm=1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Andy BarrVerified account @barrforcongress

 
 
 

My opponent is a radical progressive who will serve as a rubber stamp for the Democrats' agenda. Simply put, she's too liberal for Kentucky. Watch my new ad now! #KY06

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

Amy McGrathVerified account @AmyMcGrathKY 7h7 hours ago

 
 

Amy McGrath Retweeted Andy Barr

When you can't run on your record, this is all you got. @barrforcongress I sat on a runway on Sept 11 with missiles strapped to my F-18 awaiting POTUS orders to shoot down civilian aircraft to defend our homeland. What sacrifice have you ever made for our country over your party?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 hours ago, mr6666 said:

Andy BarrVerified account @barrforcongress

 
 
 

My opponent is a radical progressive who will serve as a rubber stamp for the Democrats' agenda. Simply put, she's too liberal for Kentucky. Watch my new ad now! #KY06

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

Amy McGrathVerified account @AmyMcGrathKY 7h7 hours ago

 
 

Amy McGrath Retweeted Andy Barr

When you can't run on your record, this is all you got. @barrforcongress I sat on a runway on Sept 11 with missiles strapped to my F-18 awaiting POTUS orders to shoot down civilian aircraft to defend our homeland. What sacrifice have you ever made for our country over your party?

Looks to me that McGrath is admitting what Barr said is true.       I.e. that she is a radical progressive who will serve as a rubber stamp for the Democrats' agenda AND that she was in the armed-forces and served her country with honor.

(of course McGrath can't run on her record, since she has none,  but she could have said she supports the Dem's agenda (or at least a majority of it),  or that she doesn't (like Jones did in Alabama).

 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

http://www.governing.com/topics/politics/gov-trump-trade-policies-impact-governors-races.html

How Trump’s Trade Policies Could Impact Governors’ Races

There are early, but scattered, signs that Democrats will use new tariffs as a wedge issue.

President Trump is pursuing a high-stakes strategy of raising tariffs in an effort to cut America’s trade deficits. The administration’s tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, for instance, prompted China, the European Union, Canada and Mexico to retaliate with tariffs of their own on agricultural exports.

The escalating battle has already hurt farmers. As a result, the Trump administration announced last month that it will make an estimated $12 billion in government assistance available to growers.

While the economic impact of his trade policy plays out, could there also be a political impact? Could a trade war influence the 36 governors’ races in November?

So far, there are only scattered signs that Democratic candidates are using trade as a wedge issue, or that Republican candidates are aggressively distancing themselves from Trump to side with their constituents’ economic interests.

But if Trump’s trade approach causes further pain for export-dependent farmers, or if manufacturers reliant on newly expensive steel and aluminum begin to suffer, this could -- in theory at least -- provide a political windfall for Democrats already benefiting from favorable electoral winds.

ere are only scattered signs that Democratic candidates are using trade as a wedge issue, or that Republican candidates are aggressively distancing themselves from Trump to side with their constituents’ economic interests.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
19 hours ago, mr6666 said:

Andy BarrVerified account @barrforcongress

 
 
 

My opponent is a radical progressive who will serve as a rubber stamp for the Democrats' agenda. Simply put, she's too liberal for Kentucky. Watch my new ad now! #KY06

-----------------------------------------------------------------------

Amy McGrathVerified account @AmyMcGrathKY 7h7 hours ago

 
 

Amy McGrath Retweeted Andy Barr

When you can't run on your record, this is all you got. @barrforcongress I sat on a runway on Sept 11 with missiles strapped to my F-18 awaiting POTUS orders to shoot down civilian aircraft to defend our homeland. What sacrifice have you ever made for our country over your party?

Don't know that much about this race, but being in the military is not qualification to hold elective office.  Recently a fellow retired officer and I were discussing this very situation.  It should be about which candidate will do the best for their constituents and America.

Incidentally, is sitting in a plane on a runway a sacrifice?  Or is she referring to having been in the military as the sacrifice?

  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, TheCid said:

Don't know that much about this race, but being in the military is not qualification to hold elective office.  Recently a fellow retired officer and I were discussing this very situation.  It should be about which candidate will do the best for their constituents and America.

Incidentally, is sitting in a plane on a runway a sacrifice?  Or is she referring to having been in the military as the sacrifice?

What I found most funny about her comments was the part of "When you can't run on your record, this is all you got.".     

Can she be that clueless and not see that is exactly what she is doing in her reply.

The GOP incumbent is running 'on his record';  that of a conservative. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, jamesjazzguitar said:

What I found most funny about her comments was the part of "When you can't run on your record, this is all you got.".     

Can she be that clueless and not see that is exactly what she is doing in her reply.

The GOP incumbent is running 'on his record';  that of a conservative. 

 

I think she is saying he can't run on his record because it is not a good one.  Although, she has no record at all.  Looked her up in Wiki.  20 years in the Marine Corps, retired and signed up to run for US House. As a retired Army officer, I would tend to hold that against her.  Not because she is female, but because she came directly from a very closed environment and has spent little or no time living in the state she wishes to represent.  Her opponent in the Dem primary was gay, which may have hurt him (IMO).

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

© 2020 Turner Classic Movies Inc. A Time Warner Company. All Rights Reserved Terms of Use | Privacy Policy
×
×
  • Create New...