LornaHansonForbes Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 I'm thinking 14.8 million. What about you guys? To be clear, there is no prize for accurate guessing, this is not a gambling website. Just the smug self-satisfaction of knowing you are right when the numbers come out mid-Monday/Tuesday. 2 1 Link to post Share on other sites
filmnoirguy Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 In 2020, the live TV audience in the U.S. fell to an all-time low of about 23.6 million viewers, down from 29.5 million in 2019. For 2021, the Academy is predicting 12 to 15 million viewers for the live ceremony. I'm guessing it will be closer to 17 million. And I'll be one of them! 😎 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Leighcat Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 I'm going with 18.9 2 Link to post Share on other sites
Roy Cronin Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 What is 17.4 million? 1 Link to post Share on other sites
NipkowDisc Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 who gives a sheet? Link to post Share on other sites
EricJ Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 Ask people to name ANY one of the made-for-streaming Best Pictures this year. ...And you thought "Tree of Life" had it tough six years ago. 😱 (I'm watching because I haven't seen Mank or Trial of the Chicago Seven, and like the last sixteen years, I'm just tuning in to see previews of the nominees to see if they're worth a rent.) 1 Link to post Share on other sites
CinemaInternational Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 9.5 million. And I have seen the nominated films Nomadland, Judas and the Black Messiah, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7, Mank, The United States Vs. Billie Holliday, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, Hillbilly Elegy, Pieces of a Woman, One night in Miami, Emma, Da 5 Bloods, and Onward. So if you want to ask questions, fire away. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
LornaHansonForbes Posted April 23 Author Share Posted April 23 2 hours ago, CinemaInternational said: 9.5 million. And I have seen the nominated films Nomadland, Judas and the Black Messiah, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7, Mank, The United States Vs. Billie Holliday, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, Hillbilly Elegy, Pieces of a Woman, One night in Miami, Emma, Da 5 Bloods, and Onward. So if you want to ask questions, fire away. Is MA RAINEY any good? *And what exactly is her black Bottom and does it have anything to do with the old song/dance ? Link to post Share on other sites
LornaHansonForbes Posted April 23 Author Share Posted April 23 This: Link to post Share on other sites
LornaHansonForbes Posted April 23 Author Share Posted April 23 I wish I had a prize to give to the winner!!! Link to post Share on other sites
LornaHansonForbes Posted April 23 Author Share Posted April 23 Also watch us all be wrong and they’ll have 35 million people watching. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
LornaHansonForbes Posted April 23 Author Share Posted April 23 Also also, what with the NUTTINESS of the past several years and all, be open to the chance that something completely wild happens during the first third like, I don’t know, maybe STREEP and FRANCES MACDORMAND get into an expletive filled, on-camera shoving match when they think they’ve cut to commercial and viewership THUSLY SKYROCKETS because of TWITTER WORD OF MOUTH. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Leighcat Posted April 23 Share Posted April 23 I voted for the SAG awards, so I have seen all of the nomination-leading films. They were almost all heavy-handed message pictures that were ordeals to watch and not anything much to want to see again. The weighted voting is silly, and the Academy is working so hard on pleasing everyone, that it's difficult to credit their decisions. So, naturally, I'll watch. But maybe low viewership will send a message to the Academy...Forgive the Schadenfreude. 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
EricJ Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 14 minutes ago, Leighcat said: The weighted voting is silly, and the Academy is working so hard on pleasing everyone, that it's difficult to credit their decisions. I am ironclad convinced that the sole reason Moonlight, Green Book, The Shape of Water, and other "unexpected" Best Picture winners of the last twelve years happened because of weighted Ranked Voting: Most have the distinct smell of "Yeah, that was the...second-best movie of the year", the dreary critic-bait one that everyone else voted on in the betting pool while you went with your own populist favorite. (How many remember winning '05 betting pools against snooty friends who said "No, gotta be Mystic River...The Academy HATES fantasy, there's no WAY they'd give it to anything as 'trivial' as Return of the King!"? Me, I remember winning one in college, since Amadeus wasn't considered as "important" a Picture as The Killing Fields, and to this day, there exist people who think The Crying Game should have beaten Unforgiven.) And while nobody can agree on the #1 Best Picture, there's usually a consensus on what was the hardworking and earnest but dreary #2 Best Picture for the year, meaning the second-place slot ends up getting a higher point tally of votes than the first-place, and, like Aesop's Tortoise, wins for being mediocre. Last year, we had Ranked Voting as an option for state election candidates as a ballot question, and it was only Oscar geeks like me that knew how to warn newcomers of the lurking danger.... 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Aritosthenes Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 5 hours ago, CinemaInternational said: 9.5 million. And I have seen the nominated films Nomadland, Judas and the Black Messiah, Sound of Metal, The Trial of the Chicago 7, Mank, The United States Vs. Billie Holliday, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, Hillbilly Elegy, Pieces of a Woman, One night in Miami, Emma, Da 5 Bloods, and Onward. So if you want to ask questions, fire away. In All Sincerity.. Why do You Think.. ...Possibly the Two B.EST Films of the Year (thus far).. - Dreamland. And News of the World... ..were given the stiff arm ? .. 🤷♂️🤷♀️🤷♀️🤦♂️🤦♀️🤦♀️🤦♀️ Link to post Share on other sites
Aritosthenes Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 1 hour ago, EricJ said: I am ironclad convinced that the sole reason Moonlight, Green Book, The Shape of Water, and other "unexpected" Best Picture winners of the last twelve years happened because of weighted Ranked Voting: Most have the distinct smell of "Yeah, that was the...second-best movie of the year", the dreary critic-bait one that everyone else voted on in the betting pool while you went with your own populist favorite. (How many remember winning '05 betting pools against snooty friends who said "No, gotta be Mystic River...The Academy HATES fantasy, there's no WAY they'd give it to anything as 'trivial' as Return of the King!"? Me, I remember winning one in college, since Amadeus wasn't considered as "important" a Picture as The Killing Fields, and to this day, there exist people who think The Crying Game should have beaten Unforgiven.) And while nobody can agree on the #1 Best Picture, there's usually a consensus on what was the hardworking and earnest but dreary #2 Best Picture for the year, meaning the second-place slot ends up getting a higher point tally of votes than the first-place, and, like Aesop's Tortoise, wins for being mediocre. Last year, we had Ranked Voting as an option for state election candidates as a ballot question, and it was only Oscar geeks like me that knew how to warn newcomers of the lurking danger.... Shape of Water is EXQUISITE. ..One of the BEST SciFi Films EVER ... THAT, One... .....They Actually Got RIGHT.. (*For a Remarkable Change... _ If You Disagree .. ...(then) lets talk it over..... 🙏🥂 . Link to post Share on other sites
Aritosthenes Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 2 hours ago, LornaHansonForbes said: Also also, what with the NUTTINESS of the past several years and all, be open to the chance that something completely wild happens during the first third like, I don’t know, maybe STREEP and FRANCES MACDORMAND get into an expletive filled, on-camera shoving match when they think they’ve cut to commercial and viewership THUSLY SKYROCKETS because of TWITTER WORD OF MOUTH. Lol👍👏LolLol All i gottaSay, is,. (In between my laughter .. TheyBetterKnow Sound Equipment When TheySeeIt ... 😐😬😬😬 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Aritosthenes Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 7 hours ago, EricJ said: Ask people to name ANY one of the made-for-streaming Best Pictures this year. ...And you thought "Tree of Life" had it tough six years ago. 😱 (I'm watching because I haven't seen Mank or Trial of the Chicago Seven, and like the last sixteen years, I'm just tuning in to see previews of the nominees to see if they're worth a rent.) Dreamland, and News of the World ,are FANTASTIC - EXQUISITE .. If Interested. Link to post Share on other sites
The Great Gildersleeve Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 I was going to post I thought News of the World and the Invisible Man were donuts. Oh I just did. Link to post Share on other sites
SansFin Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 4 hours ago, LornaHansonForbes said: I wish I had a prize to give to the winner!!! Just having you in the forum is all the prize we need. My guess: 11.2 Million minus 2 (my fuzzy and I will not be watching). 2 1 Link to post Share on other sites
LuckyDan Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 No idea, but I just checked the network listings to see what it's up against and unless there are a HELL of a lot more hockey fans than I thought, the Oscars should do well enough. But really isn't it time for these type of shows to go? It's not the TV event it once was. I would have thought it had already aired. How many will know to be looking for it? Link to post Share on other sites
The Great Gildersleeve Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 8 hours ago, The Great Gildersleeve said: I was going to post I thought News of the World and the Invisible Man were donuts. Oh I just did. They may not be Donuts so much as movies I was really looking forward to and was just disappointed. Link to post Share on other sites
Det Jim McLeod Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 On 4/23/2021 at 10:32 AM, LornaHansonForbes said: What about you guys? It will be one less this year since I won't be watching. The first time I will not watch in over 30 years, since I was not able to see any of the nominees. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
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