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Democratic election chances are bleak


ElCid
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 According to a USA Today/Suffolk University poll, Biden's approval ratings are going down (but still better than Trump's were) and Harris' are even worse.   Americans overwhelmingly support the bipartisan Infrastructure Bill, but only 47% support the Build Back Better bill.

While Biden has lost support among voters, those lost do not support Trump.

Historically the party that wins the White House loses House and Senate seats in the next election, usually be double digits.  Even worse when the president has low favorability ratings.

My view.  The Democrats are going to have to do something tremendous to pull this out in 2022 and 2024 or else the Republicans will have to do something really, really stupid.   Both parties need to come up with better candidates for president.  I supported Biden and still do but think of him as a one-term president by choice.

If the Republicans win in House and/or Senate in 2022, they are likely to get so involved in revenge politics that they turn off the very people who elected them.  If they launch investigations of Democrats, the elections in 2020 and so forth, the voters will become offended.

Of course, the only poll that counts is the one on election day and polls over past few years have had many accuracy problems.

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59 minutes ago, ElCid said:

 According to a USA Today/Suffolk University poll, Biden's approval ratings are going down (but still better than Trump's were) and Harris' are even worse.   Americans overwhelmingly support the bipartisan Infrastructure Bill, but only 47% support the Build Back Better bill.

While Biden has lost support among voters, those lost do not support Trump.

Historically the party that wins the White House loses House and Senate seats in the next election, usually be double digits.  Even worse when the president has low favorability ratings.

My view.  The Democrats are going to have to do something tremendous to pull this out in 2022 and 2024 or else the Republicans will have to do something really, really stupid.   Both parties need to come up with better candidates for president.  I supported Biden and still do but think of him as a one-term president by choice.

If the Republicans win in House and/or Senate in 2022, they are likely to get so involved in revenge politics that they turn off the very people who elected them.  If they launch investigations of Democrats, the elections in 2020 and so forth, the voters will become offended.

Of course, the only poll that counts is the one on election day and polls over past few years have had many accuracy problems.

Still way too early to call:   it appears for most Americans the price of gas is one of the most important things in their life and they tend to view the party that has the White House as responsible for that price:  Thus the number of Dem House losses will depend a lot on the cost of gas in the fall of 2022.     

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4 hours ago, JamesJazGuitar said:

Still way too early to call:   it appears for most Americans the price of gas is one of the most important things in their life and they tend to view the party that has the White House as responsible for that price:  Thus the number of Dem House losses will depend a lot on the cost of gas in the fall of 2022.     

A lot can happen in a year, yes, but if the dems are really looking at Virginia and saying, oh that was just racism, then there will be no changes - no backing off from mandates, no distancing from racial/sexual politics, no reluctance about still more spending - and therefore no lessons learned, just a continued headlong rush into progressivism, which seems the safe prediction. They will lose big. 

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